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General politics thread (was: General U.S. politics thread)

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Comments

  • edited 2016-11-09 19:12:58
    Creature - Florida Dragon Turtle Human
    > What would you want him to do? Does his win mean anything more than sticking it to people/things you don't like?

    No... but he does have a chance to fight the post-9/11 fascist hegemony and I hope he makes good use of it. Trump could stop the wars and poverty and earn us back our respect in the world as well as make us a happier population. I'm going to be optimistic. And I'm *not* going to Canada again, that's for damn sure.



    What exactly does it mean to "fight the post-9/11 fascist hegemony"?

    As for wars: They're still going to happen no matter what the US does.

    As for poverty in the United States: Difficult to do unless he makes a huge investment in infrastructure renewal (which he has occasionally suggested he'd do), which would solve it in the short term, and then also bring new economic activities that can last long-term to places that have lost such activities (e.g. places that used to be big in coal mining).  Note that doing things like mining more coal is, at best, a short-term solution (assuming it works at all), because (1) resources like this can run out, and (2) they're heavily dependent on being competitive in markets, unless you subsidize the fuck out of it.

    As for earning back respect on the world stage: The US has actually enjoyed pretty good respect during the Obama presidency.  There are some countries that don't like the US, but largely that's not changed much -- it's still the usual suspects like Russia and Iran, largely.  Does the US have perfect relations with the world?  No, but at least the US (at least before yesterday) hasn't been the world's laughingstock that it was under George W. Bush.  The US also improved relations with Cuba and Myanmar and Iran during Obama's time in office, and it helped build an agreement on managing climate change, though to be fair, relations with the Philippines and Turkey have soured recently.

    If Trump follows the model that he's offered so far on the campaign trail -- which amounts to being the "tough guy" who pisses everyone off -- then the most "respect" he'll get is basically the opinion the rest of the world gives to people like Duterte and Kim Jong Un, which is that people will stay out of his way when they think he's strong, but will just run roughshod over him when they think he's weak.  That approach just turns everything into a dog-eat-dog world where everyone defaults to being suspicious of everyone else, as opposed to a cooperative world.

    There's a slight chance he could do something different, to be fair.  He could have the potential to generate "Nixon in China" moments where he does reach across to people you wouldn't expect and build better relations with them on various issues.  However, this seems unlikely to happen except with Russia, and for him it wouldn't be a "Nixon in China" thing either because he doesn't have the bona fides of being anti-Russia -- he'd just continue to be suspected of secretly being in cahoots with Putin's allies, if not actively under investigation for it.


    Naas_Human wrote: »
    The Republican party has even more control than it used to. The establishment isn't going away, and it doesn't look like the U.S. is somehow more likely to pull out from armed conflicts.
    As for poverty in particular, I've found that a good deal of Trump's support has been from small town communities left in bad shape because the main things they relied on turned out to be less reliable. That doesn't seem to be the kind of thing any President could fix with how widespread it is.


    Exactly.  That's things like coal mining and oil drilling in some places and manufacturing in others.  It's possible to make these things work short-term by pumping massive subsidies into them and protecting them with huge import tariffs, but these are short-term solutions at best.

    In the case of energy resources, it's better to move on and switch to working on newer energy tech.  And in the case of manufacturing, it's actually better to improve conditions in those "third world countries" that currently makes all of our cheap stuff, so as to make it so that companies can't just run away and pay other people less to make stuff.

    Edit: forum doesn't embed quotes properly.
  • "you duck spawn, refined creature, you try to be cynical, yokel, but all that comes out of it is that you're a dunce!!!!! you duck plug!"
    I just wanted to say I kind of take it back, now they're going almost apocalyptic. I guess it's a matter of who's talking at the moment, and the last time I checked the meh crowd got the spotlight.
  • The irony is that, by defeating the establishment, Trump has become the establishment.
  • RANT MODE ENGAGED!!!

    I absolutely fucking LOATHE the people who are blaming this result on "Bernie Bros" or "millennials" or "Stein voters" or "Johnson voters" (Johnson was taking votes away from TRUMP, you jackasses) or "Russia" or "WikiLeaks" or ANYBODY except the Democratic establishment and Hillary herself.

    Rachel Maddow, for instance, tweeted that the Stein voters are the reason the world's in for a rough future, because in Wisconsin, for example, Hillary lost by 1%, and if Stein's voters had voted for her, she wouldn't have.

    REALLY, Rachel? Your precious candidate with a fuckton of baggage and scandals to her name, the one who kept talking about the need to keep bombing counties, the one who fawned over Netanyahu's Israel, the one who didn't have the courage to speak up on the DAPL when Sanders and Gore did, the one who is pro-fracking? That candidate failed to get a sizable lead in Wisconsin (gee, could it be related to any of those things I just mentioned?) and you're going to blame not HER for her shitty strategy and positions, but STEIN VOTERS?!

    FUCK YOU, RACHEL MADDOW.

    Also, I know that Glenn's gonna disagree with this and Glenn, you can believe whatever you like, but if Bernie was the nominee he would have done a hell of a lot better. How much baggage does Sanders have? How much could they have hit him with? If being a socialist--democratic socialist to be accurate--was such a turnoff to voters, then why in the blue fuck did he not immediately sputter out and die in the primaries against Clinton?

    Trump would have called him a socialist in the debates? Big goddamn deal. All he'd need to say would be "Yes, and that means I like Medicare. Most of the American people like Medicare. That means I liked the New Deal. Most of the American people think the New Deal was a good thing. Those are the kinds of changes I want to see more of, as a socialist."

    If Daily Kos says that Bernie would have gotten crushed, then Daily Kos is dead wrong. Like a lot of pundits were dead wrong.
  • "you duck spawn, refined creature, you try to be cynical, yokel, but all that comes out of it is that you're a dunce!!!!! you duck plug!"
    While we're at it, can you guys confirm or deny what this picture says?


  • He'd have my vote. Gorillas tend to be incapable of ordering signature drone strikes or the gutting of the EPA, even when alive.
  • "you duck spawn, refined creature, you try to be cynical, yokel, but all that comes out of it is that you're a dunce!!!!! you duck plug!"
    Now it would be funny if there was some place in America where Harambe stole enough of Hillary's votes for Donald to win. This would indeed be the first truly memetic election.
  • edited 2016-11-09 21:30:53
    Naas_Human wrote: »
    The Republican party has even more control than it used to. The establishment isn't going away, and it doesn't look like the U.S. is somehow more likely to pull out from armed conflicts.



    One of the very few positives in this is that whatever armed conflict the U.S. does get involved in going forward, at least it won't be against Russia.

    By the way, I really think Clinton's red-baiting strategy backfired. "Trump is just a puppet of Putin! The Russians are coming! Be scared of the Russians!" Yeah, as somebody who remembers how the U.S. government lied to everybody about Iraq, I'm not buying it. And I'm betting a lot of others didn't buy it either, saw it as nothing more than intelligence-insulting fearmongering a la George W. Bush, and were turned off of Clinton as a result.
  • BeeBee
    edited 2016-11-09 21:55:41
    It's also possible Putin wanted Trump in charge because he knew the guy is utter trash at making decisions, whereas he might lose too much face domestically fighting Clinton as she bent over backwards for him with completely reasonable diplomacy.

    Like, if there's one thing Hillary is good at, it's diplomacy.  It's sort of her thing.  When she's not war hawking anyway.
  • Creature - Florida Dragon Turtle Human
    I absolutely fucking LOATHE the people who are blaming this result on "Bernie Bros" or "millennials" or "Stein voters" or "Johnson voters" (Johnson was taking votes away from TRUMP, you jackasses) or "Russia" or "WikiLeaks" or ANYBODY except the Democratic establishment and Hillary herself.

    The Dem establishment is to blame for not emphasizing a fifty-state strategy and generally putting more emphasis on long-term voter engagement beyond political activities.  Clinton herself also ran a relatively uncharismatic campaign that amounted to saying "I've done good things in the past and am well prepared, choose me please" when the national mood was "this whole situation is shit!!11".

    There are probably a number of smaller effects, though, that each might have changed a handful of minds, leading to death by a thousand cuts in a way.

    But the underlying effect I feel stems from that disengagement with the political and policymaking system.  It's a long-term problem and in a way has been around for a while now.  Even back in 2004, the first time I voted, I remember encouraging people to vote for Kerry because he's the better candidate and got a variety of generally apathetic responses.  This sense of lack of engagement is a problem that results in just the most dedicated partisans staying in and further discouraging people from taking responsibility for our political decisions as a society.

    I don't know how to solve this problem, though, aside from a long-term effort talking to people about how policymaking does affect our lives in small and large ways and saying that we as a democratic society are tasked with the responsibility of managing our own governance.

    Rachel Maddow, for instance, tweeted that the Stein voters are the reason the world's in for a rough future, because in Wisconsin, for example, Hillary lost by 1%, and if Stein's voters had voted for her, she wouldn't have.
    [...]
    Also, I know that Glenn's gonna disagree with this and Glenn, you can
    believe whatever you like, but if Bernie was the nominee he would have
    done a hell of a lot better. How much baggage does Sanders have? How
    much could they have hit him with? If being a socialist--democratic
    socialist
    to be accurate--was such a turnoff to voters, then why in
    the blue fuck did he not immediately sputter out and die in the
    primaries against Clinton?

    Well, the numbers are what they are, but of course, you're right to challenge the assumption that Stein voters would necessarily voted for Clinton.  Similarly, though, you'd have to run an entire hypothetical campaign season with Sanders if you were to make a proper comparison, complete with a change in the campaign strategies on both sides.  Clearly these are practically impossible to even imagine, let alone run, so these are things we can argue about endlessly.

    For what it's worth, I personally voted for Sanders.  I remember seeing comparison polls at the time, some of which did indeed show Sanders doing better against a Republican nominee, but...considering how badly polls have done in predicting the outcome yesterday, we would be wise to take even those with some grains of salt.  Furthermore, that was a much different point in time.

    Can't really say it's either right or wrong.  But I totally understand your frustration, especially in light of how Sanders was certainly able to light up disengaged voters in a way that Clinton had a lot of trouble doing, while we can also see that Clinton had some trouble turning out black voters in the record numbers by which they supported Obama.  In retrospect, he may have been a better candidate because of this, though let's also not forget that he wasn't a perfect candidate either and we don't know how his faults may have affected the course of the campaign and the consequent results.

    And honestly this is where I get mad at the whole liberal/conservative or left/right ideological divide.  Labels like these -- as well as "socialist", "communist", and many others -- simply serve to force people into opinion pigeonholes when, frankly speaking, a lot of low-engagement voters are interested in how a candidate might affect them.  Preference or "allergy" to a certain ideological identification may affect them emotionally, but there's definitely an interplay between the practical and emotional, in a way that we haven't sorted out well -- and specifically, it's important to recognize the difference between ideological rigidity and distrust.  Specifically, I think that a number of rural voters and others who are typically considered "conservative" may be more receptive than we'd expect to ideas usually deemed "socialist".  Of course, it helps if those ideas aren't labeled as "socialist", but sometimes that assumption doesn't apply, especially when the status quo itself is being challenged...

    He'd have my vote. Gorillas tend to be incapable of ordering signature drone strikes or the gutting of the EPA, even when alive.


    I can understand the criticism of drone strikes, but...gutting the EPA?  I don't get how that's a criticism of Clinton.  Unless I'm reading this wrong and this is a criticism of the entire selection of candidates.
  • edited 2016-11-09 22:27:41
    Creature - Florida Dragon Turtle Human
    Some other interesting stuff:

    A Kansas Democrat gives his perspective:

    http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/11/9/1594721/-Hello-America-From-Kansas-You-re-Like-Us-Now-Let-s-Talk-About-What-s-Next

    And, not explicitly political, but some reflection:

    Hillary Clinton's sorta-semi-unofficial second slogan was "I'm With Her".  In a way, that was the "wrong" thing to say.  I noticed a line that cropped up in conversation, amongst my fellow progressives, about US politics in the aftermath of this election:

    I'm with you.


    That's what it should have been.  "I'm With Her" has a bit of an undertone of expressing a partisan alignment in some sort of contest.  Yes, that's what the election is, but it's also not a contest in the typical sense of taking territory or simply winning things by doing things harder than anyone else.  It's also an attempt to convince people to become part of an electoral coalition -- doubly so for Clinton's case where her campaign's official slogan was "Stronger Together" and emphasized unity.

    Well, mistakes were made, and time machines haven't been invented yet.  Sometimes the world is just imperfect.

    But in the meantime, here's the tagline for the anime series ViVid Strike!:

    Thou shalt not be afraid, I am with you.


    Perhaps this line -- which closely resembles Isaiah 41:10 from the Bible ("Do not be afraid; I am with you") -- should have been the slogan, to go with a theme of unity.  And -- as much as I don't like stereotypes -- it would have worked well to show off a more "motherly" and personable side of her, as a caring guardian with a steady hand in a time of turmoil.
  • edited 2016-11-09 22:40:41
    Trump would have called him a socialist in the debates? Big goddamn
    deal. All he'd need to say would be "Yes, and that means I like
    Medicare. Most of the American people like Medicare. That means I liked
    the New Deal. Most of the American people think the New Deal was a good
    thing. Those are the kinds of changes I want to see more of, as a
    socialist."

    But in addition to liking Medicare, being a socialist also implies aiming towards a bloody revolution to create a brutal dictatorship of the proletariat under an almighty vanguard, as well as hatred towards the United States itself (and imperialism, but only sometimes). Not the sort of things the electorate tends to like, even if it includes Medicare.

    He should've called himself something else since apparently that wasn't part of his government plan.

    While we're at it, can you guys confirm or deny what this picture says?

    I heard it's true.

    So, I've been wondering for a while. All in all, in your own words USers, why would you say about half the country voted for Trump? (I guess Glenn already answered.)

    Edit:
    I'm not sure whether to be surprised that there's a resident Putinist or that there's only one.
    I know there's a pro-Bashar-al-Assad (Turkish) troper that sometimes goes to visit the Arab Spring thread. I might be miseremembering but I think there was also a pro-Kims in the North Korea thread.
  • edited 2016-11-09 22:41:56
    "In a mad world, only the mad are sane!"-Akira Kurosawa, Ran
    Aside, anyone blaming it entirely on SJWs or the alt-right is a moronic pundit who lives too much on Twitter/Tumblr. 
  • edited 2016-11-09 23:31:42
    Creature - Florida Dragon Turtle Human

    Aside, anyone blaming it entirely on SJWs or the alt-right is a moronic pundit who lives too much on Twitter/Tumblr. 



    I've been hanging out on MyAnimeList's forum recently and I see far more out-of-the-blue flaming of SJWs/feminists/"feminazis" than I do of actual SJWs/feminists/"feminazis".  Like, someone starts complaining about a series, and as you might know, yuri is not exactly uncommon in anime, so the person says that they liked the yuri pairing despite not liking the series.  About 9 posts in, someone else quotes the OP to blame "feminists" for...I'm not sure what, actually.

    I mean, that's like, "dude, how the hell does this have anything to do with complaining about feminists?"
  • edited 2016-11-10 00:10:46
    Creature - Florida Dragon Turtle Human
    One for Sanders fans: Washington's 7th district saw State Sen. Pramila Jayapal defeating State Rep. Brady Walkinshaw 57-43.  Jayapal was a big Sanders supporter and Sanders later helped fundraise for her IIRC.  Both are Dems.

    Also in CA-44, another two-Dems runoff: Hermosa Beach City Councilwoman Nanette Barragán defeated State Sen. Isadore Hall 51-49 after Hall finished 40-22.  Apparently Barragán is better on environmental issues, and Hall's non-support for an effort to put health warning labels on sodas got him at loggerheads with a local gym owner.

    As for a couple of major two-party races:

    Arizona's Maricopa County has rejected the infamous Sheriff Joe Arpaio (R), who lost to Paul Penzone (D) by a 55-45 margin.

    And Kelly Ayotte has conceded to Maggie Hassan in New Hampshire, producing Team Blue's second US Senate pickup.  It's 52-48 for the Republicans assuming the Louisiana seat stays red (but then again, after what just happened, we're all hesitant to make firm predictions...).
  • BeeBee
    edited 2016-11-10 02:32:53
    The two biggest reasons half the country voted for Trump were abortion and general distrust of establishment.  Granted the first is basically bunk because Trump was a pro-choice Democrat, but the latter is huge.  They already thought of her as a shady manipulator because of Bill's scandals and her own scandals (at least one of which turned out to be true), then saw the DNC get blown out in the open and confirm it.

    That said, she probably would've won anyway if she was anyone but a Clinton.  Losing the (normally decently blue) Rust Belt was a very personal thing given NAFTA.

    Hillary was basically the worst person the Dems could've picked.  She had a very strong base, but they refused to recognize just how toxic she was to everyone else.  If Trump bragging about sexual assault wasn't winning over enough people, she had no chance to begin with against...anyone, really.  Her base is too focused.  And I get the feeling she's very aware of that now.  I'd be surprised if she goes for a national office again.
  • "I've come to the conclusion that this is a VERY STUPID IDEA."
    I have to say. Knowing that there was nothing else that you, personally, could've done about something... doesn't really make you feel any better about it.
  • "you duck spawn, refined creature, you try to be cynical, yokel, but all that comes out of it is that you're a dunce!!!!! you duck plug!"
    The other thing I keep thinking, Reptilians must be in a bit of a hissy (heh heh) fit right now.
  • Cenk Uygur warned that President Trump will target four things in his first 100 days in office.



    First is the ACA, which Ryan and McConnell want repealed. Second is the Supreme Court, for obvious reasons (and it won't be his only appointment either). Third is climate change, because Trump will revoke all of Obama's executive orders on that front (plus the worker protection ones). Finally, the Iran Deal will be revoked, which will produce a hardline Iranian President in the May 2017 election, and likely accelerate tensions before leading to war.



    Thanks for that, America. You handed the world over to a fascist strongman who now has a Nixon style enemies list.
  • @GMH: First, thanks for understanding. Second, about this part...

    "I can understand the criticism of drone strikes, but...gutting the EPA?  I don't get how that's a criticism of Clinton.  Unless I'm reading this wrong and this is a criticism of the entire selection of candidates."

    ...I could have been more specific there in who I was criticizing. The drone strikes began under Obama, but I believe they'll continue under Trump. Also, for all my problems with Clinton and despite the fact that she's not exactly an environmentalist, she wouldn't have gutted the EPA, that's true...but Trump and the GOP congress likely will.


    ...Hillary Clinton's sorta-semi-unofficial second slogan was "I'm With Her".  In a way, that was the "wrong" thing to say.  I noticed a line that cropped up in conversation, amongst my fellow progressives, about US politics in the aftermath of this election...



    I heard that earlier in a post-mortem by Kyle Kulinski of what went wrong. In a number of instances, Hillary made it more about herself than about the American people. As in (this is a paraphrase) "Soon we'll break the glass ceiling!" That's fine, but what people want to hear more than that is how you're going to make things better.


    Aside, anyone blaming it entirely on SJWs or the alt-right is a moronic pundit who lives too much on Twitter/Tumblr. 



    Thank you.


    Bee wrote: »
    The two biggest reasons half the country voted for Trump were abortion and general distrust of establishment.  Granted the first is basically bunk because Trump was a pro-choice Democrat, but the latter is huge.  They already thought of her as a shady manipulator because of Bill's scandals and her own scandals (at least one of which turned out to be true), then saw the DNC get blown out in the open and confirm it.

    That said, she probably would've won anyway if she was anyone but a Clinton.  Losing the (normally decently blue) Rust Belt was a very personal thing given NAFTA.

    Hillary was basically the worst person the Dems could've picked.  She had a very strong base, but they refused to recognize just how toxic she was to everyone else.  If Trump bragging about sexual assault wasn't winning over enough people, she had no chance to begin with against...anyone, really.  Her base is too focused.  And I get the feeling she's very aware of that now.  I'd be surprised if she goes for a national office again.



    She really, really shouldn't try again.

    This also goes to what I previously said about Bernie being a better candidate against Trump, in my opinion.

    Hillbots have spent much of the last year talking about "Bernie Bros" who were supposedly sexist, and then when they saw some of those people switch to Trump instead of backing her, they were all like "Oh, well, that PROVES you were sexist all along!"

    Not necessarily.

    There was some overlap between Trump's message and Bernie's, and I believe that's what led some Bernie supporters to back Trump in the end. Trump took contradictory positions on most things, but the one thing he seemed fairly consistent on was trade. "NAFTA is bad," both he and Bernie said. "TPP will be bad," both he and Bernie said.

    Now, don't get me wrong, I don't believe Trump is gonna be great on trade, considering he outsourced some of his own jobs. But if Joe Voter cared more about trade and bringing back jobs than anything else, and ended up with a choice between Hillary (who was pro-TPP as hell, before going "Meh, okay, I guess I'm against it" in the end) and Trump (who said he was against TPP), then Trump is going to look like the more attractive choice for Joe Voter.

    Sure, there's all the bigotry, the talk of killing terrorists' families, the talk of bringing torture back, etc. But I think while some of Trump's voters weren't okay with that stuff, they held their noses and voted for him because they thought he'd be better on trade.
  • edited 2016-11-10 09:55:35
    Arizona's Maricopa County has rejected the infamous Sheriff Joe Arpaio (R), who lost to Paul Penzone (D) by a 55-45 margin.
     


    About Arpaio...


    "Giuliani or Sheriff Joe Arpaio could be the secretary of the Department of Homeland Security..."
  • "you duck spawn, refined creature, you try to be cynical, yokel, but all that comes out of it is that you're a dunce!!!!! you duck plug!"
    I actually wonder what will be Trump's policy on stuff like war on terror. Been thinking of what Weaver would say. Hillary didn't really promise any change. The Donald at the moment seems to me as equally likely to escalate (which, if it actually rids the world of more than an occasional wedding party, definitely appears preferable) as to withdraw (which at least will make a few partygoers more avoid drone strikes).
  • edited 2016-11-10 12:08:53
    ^^ So is it right that the more worrying thing might be all the other people staying in power or obtaining more of it?
    ^ I've seen it thrown around that he plans to give his generals 30 days to come up with a plan. Which is vague and not in a helpful way.
  • "In a mad world, only the mad are sane!"-Akira Kurosawa, Ran
    He plans to throw more money into defense, which seems like the perfect excuse as with the security agencies: just make up threats in order to justify keeping the budget that high. 
  • I've been hanging out on MyAnimeList's forum recently and I see far more
    out-of-the-blue flaming of SJWs/feminists/"feminazis" than I do of
    actual SJWs/feminists/"feminazis".  Like, someone starts complaining
    about a series, and as you might know, yuri is not exactly uncommon in
    anime, so the person says that they liked the yuri pairing despite not
    liking the series.  About 9 posts in, someone else quotes the OP to
    blame "feminists" for...I'm not sure what, actually.

    In my experience, curently on the 'net you don't see much clearly defined SJWism/anti-SJWism without being in some heavily slanted place that will take whatever opportunities available to advance the 'cause'.

    I actually wonder what will be Trump's policy on stuff like war on terror. Been thinking of what Weaver would say.

    Easy, that it's just a continuation of imperialism as part of late stage capitalism's process of expansion.

    The nice thing about socialism is that it's extremely simple.
  • How the hell did Republicans win a governor race in Vermont?
  • Creature - Florida Dragon Turtle Human
    Serocco wrote: »
    How the hell did Republicans win a governor race in Vermont?




    Unpopular incumbent Dem, well-known Repub lieutenant gov, and maybe lingering feelings from the Dem primary. VT has had Repub govs in recent history -- Jim Douglas.



    Sanders as POTUS nominee may have saved that one through coattails.
  • Creature - Florida Dragon Turtle Human
    I heard that earlier in a post-mortem by Kyle Kulinski of what went
    wrong. In a number of instances, Hillary made it more about herself than
    about the American people. As in (this is a paraphrase) "Soon we'll
    break the glass ceiling!" That's fine, but what people want to hear more
    than that is how you're going to make things better.


    Now I know why I felt a little cringey when Clinton came onto the stage during the convention alongside a video showing a simulated shattering of glass revealing a picture of her.

    It felt arrogant rather than humble.

    And no one can out-arrogant Trump anyway.
  • Anyone else concerned about net neutrality?
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